By: Sachie
As Promised...
(Remember to look out for our Giants Training Camp Report sometime next weekend)
NFC
ARIZONA CARDINALS: Northern Arizona U., Flagstaff, Ariz., July 23.
ATLANTA FALCONS: Falcons Training Facility, Flowery Branch, Ga., July 25.
CAROLINA PANTHERS: Wofford College, Spartanburg, S.C., July 25.
CHICAGO BEARS: Olivet Nazarene, Bourbonnais, Ill., July 23.
DALLAS COWBOYS: Oxnard River Ridge Complez, Oxnard, Calif., July 25.
DETROIT LIONS : Lions Training Facility, Allen Park, Mich., July 23.
GREEN BAY PACKERS: St. Norbert College, DePere, Wis., July 27.
MINNESOTA VIKINGS: Minnesota State-Mankato, July 24.
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS: Millsaps College, Jackson, Miss., July 23.
NEW YORK GIANTS : U. of Albany, N.Y., July 24.
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES: Lehigh U., Bethlehem, Pa., July 21 (rookies); July 24 (all).
ST. LOUIS RAMS: Concordia U., Mequon, Wis., July 25.
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS: Marie P. DeBartolo Sports Center, Santa Clara, Calif., July 24.
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS: Seahawks Headquarters, Kirkland, Wash., July 22 (rookies); July 24 (all).
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS: Disney Wide World of Sports, Lake Buena Vista, Fla., July 25.
WASHINGTON REDSKINS: Redskins Park, Ashburn, Va., July 19.
Saturday, July 19, 2008
Friday, July 18, 2008
Training Camp Info.
By: Sachie
The NFL season is right around the corner and in a week or so, I'll be attending the training camp of the Super Bowl Champion New York Giants. I'll be sure to report back on the details...might even have a few pictures to share. Until then, here is a list of places and reporting dates for the AFC. We'll have the NFC up tomorrow.
AFC
BALTIMORE RAVENS: McDaniel College, Westminster, Md., July 21 (rookies); July 23 (all).
BUFFALO BILLS: St. John Fisher College, Pittsford, N.Y,. July 25.
CINCINNATI BENGALS: Georgetown College, Georgetown, Ky. July 27.
CLEVELAND BROWNS: Browns Training Facility, Berea, Ohio, July 23.
DENVER BRONCOS: Paul D. Bowlen Memorial Centre, Englewood, Colo., July 25.
HOUSTON TEXANS: Methodist Training Center, Houston, July 20 (rookies); July 25 (all).
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS: Rose-Hulman Institute, Terre Haute, Ind., July 24.
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS: Municipal Stadium, Jacksonville, Fla., July 25.
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS: Wisconsin-River Falls, River Falls, Wis., July 24.
MIAMI DOLPHINS: Dolphins Training Center, Davie, Fla., July 25.
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Mass., July 21 (rookies); July 23 (all).
NEW YORK JETS: Hofstra U., Hempstead, N.Y., July 16 (rookies); July 23 (all).
OAKLAND RAIDERS: Napa Valley Marriott, Napa, Calif., July 24.
PITTSBURGH STEELERS: Saint Vincent College, Latrobe, Pa., July 27.
SAN DIEGO CHARGERS: Chargers Park, San Diego, July 20 (rookies); July 25 (all).
TENNESSEE TITANS: Baptist Sports Park, Nashville, Tenn., July 25
The NFL season is right around the corner and in a week or so, I'll be attending the training camp of the Super Bowl Champion New York Giants. I'll be sure to report back on the details...might even have a few pictures to share. Until then, here is a list of places and reporting dates for the AFC. We'll have the NFC up tomorrow.
AFC
BALTIMORE RAVENS: McDaniel College, Westminster, Md., July 21 (rookies); July 23 (all).
BUFFALO BILLS: St. John Fisher College, Pittsford, N.Y,. July 25.
CINCINNATI BENGALS: Georgetown College, Georgetown, Ky. July 27.
CLEVELAND BROWNS: Browns Training Facility, Berea, Ohio, July 23.
DENVER BRONCOS: Paul D. Bowlen Memorial Centre, Englewood, Colo., July 25.
HOUSTON TEXANS: Methodist Training Center, Houston, July 20 (rookies); July 25 (all).
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS: Rose-Hulman Institute, Terre Haute, Ind., July 24.
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS: Municipal Stadium, Jacksonville, Fla., July 25.
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS: Wisconsin-River Falls, River Falls, Wis., July 24.
MIAMI DOLPHINS: Dolphins Training Center, Davie, Fla., July 25.
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Mass., July 21 (rookies); July 23 (all).
NEW YORK JETS: Hofstra U., Hempstead, N.Y., July 16 (rookies); July 23 (all).
OAKLAND RAIDERS: Napa Valley Marriott, Napa, Calif., July 24.
PITTSBURGH STEELERS: Saint Vincent College, Latrobe, Pa., July 27.
SAN DIEGO CHARGERS: Chargers Park, San Diego, July 20 (rookies); July 25 (all).
TENNESSEE TITANS: Baptist Sports Park, Nashville, Tenn., July 25
Thursday, July 17, 2008
WR Rankings
By: Sachie
In a pass happy league, you would think there would be an ample amount of receivers to choose from. There aren’t. Consider the fact that you need 3 receivers in most leagues, there is not much to choose from by the time you get to the mid rounds. Receiver is a tough position, don’t jump for one but be mindful if there is a run on them in your draft. You may need to take guy a round earlier than normal.
1. Randy Moss (Patriots): Moss was super human in 2007 catching 23 td’s and gaining almost 1500 yards. He scored 2 or more td’s in 8 of 16 games. As long as Moss has Brady throwing him the ball he will be lethal. Don’t expect 13 scores again this year but 15-18 is definitely realistic. Normally, I would never advise to take a wide receiver in the 1st round but Moss is worth a shot somewhere around picks 10-12.
2. Terrell Owens (Cowboys): If healthy, T.O. is a guarantee to scores 10 td’s. He seems to have good chemistry with Tony Romo and he was even a model citizen last year. Owens is worth a 2nd round pick.
3. Reggie Wayne (Colts): No Harrison? No problem. With Marvin Harrison on the shelf Wayne stepped up in a big way for Indy catching 104 balls for over 1500 yards. He scored 10 times and that should be what you can expect in 2008. Wayne is a late 2nd, early 3rd round pick.
4. Steve Smith (Panthers): With Delhomme at quarterback, Smith had 4 td’s and 271 yards over the first two games. His production suffered once Jake went down but guess what? Not only is Delhomme back but he has Muhammad and Hackett to take some pressure off of him. Smith should be there at the end of the 2nd round or beginning of the 3rd. If he is available in round 3 don’t think twice about taking him.
5. Braylon Edwards (Browns): Edwards showed last year why he was the # 3 pick in the 2005 draft. After 2 average seasons, Edwards exploded for 16 tds. Whether it is Quinn or Anderson throwing him the ball, he should be good for 10 plus scores again.
6. Larry Fitzgerald (Cardinals): Fitzgerald is a stud. He missed some games due to injury in 2006 but in 2005 and 2007 he had 100 plus catches with 10 tds. Leinart or Warner will find him early and often. He is a solid late 2nd, early 3rd round pick.
7. Marques Colston (Saints): Colston has been a star since his rookie year in 2006. Combined with Drew Brees he thrives in New Orleans pass happy offense. He will get a lot of catches, yards and most importantly td’s. He is a great 3rd round choice,
8. Torry Holt (Rams): I’m big on consistency and Holt has put up terrific numbers since 2000. The Rams were a mess last year and he still managed almost 1200 yards and 7 tds. With a healthy supporting cast I expect him to add a few more td’s and be worth a 3rd round selection.
9. T.J. Houshmandzadeh (Bengals): Always a great compliment to Chad Johnson, T.J broke out in 2007 catching 112 balls and scoring 12 times. He is becoming Carson palmer’s favorite target and is in a contract year which tends to give players extra motivation. He should be a 3rd round selection (seeing a trend here?)
10. Andre Johnson (Texans): A lot of people are not sold on Johnson but I am. He missed 7 games due to injury in 2007 which kept his overall number down. But consider this: In 9 games he put up 6 catches, 851 yards and 8 td’s. If he picks up where he left off you could be looking at a big fantasy season. He could blow up this year, maybe even scoring 12-15 times. If you get that kind of production with a 3rd-4th round pick you’ve made a good selection.
11. Plaxico Burress (Giants): Burress and Manning have developed a nice chemistry that has seen 29 td catches the last 3 years. Burress may not get a lot of yardage but he scores. That’s enough for me to take him in the 3rd-4th round.
12. Chad Johnson (Bengals): For all of the baggage, Johnson is still one hell of a receiver. He has a good quarterback throwing him the ball and a great compliment in Houshmandzadeh. But did you know he has only scored 10 tds once in his career? I’d take Johnson in the 4th round.
13. Greg Jennings (Packers): Don’t worry if there is no Brett Favre. When Rodgers took over against Dallas, he and Jennings hooked up 5 times for 87 yards and a score. Jennings was a td machine last year, finding the end zone 12 times in 13 games. He is worth a 4th round selection.
14. Wes Welker (Patriots): Tom Brady can really make your fantasy stock rise can’t he? Welker came out of virtually nowhere to have a career year in 2007. He caught a lot of passes (112) but only had 8 tds. Did you know that he only has 9 td catches for his career? Expect that total to double after 2008 and expect Welker to come off the board in the 4th-5th round.
15. Roy Williams: William is a terrific football player and even more importantly…he’s in a contract year as well. Expect Roy to have a big year if he can stay on the field. He missed 4 games in 2007. Take him in the 4th-5th round and expect nice production.
16. Anquan Boldin (Cardinals): Boldin will get his catches but hasn’t been a bid td guy throughout his career (20 in his first 4 years). He did score 9 in 12 games in 2007 so maybe that trend is changing. He is a nice 4th-5th round selection.
17. Brandon Marshall (Broncos): Marshall scares me this year. He was terrific in 2007 with 102 catches and 7 scores but off the field problems and an arm laceration have him off to a bad start in 2008. He may still miss time due to a suspension for off the field conduct. I’d take him in the 5th round because of upside but I wouldn’t feel good about it.
18. Santonio Homes (Steelers): I am huge on Holmes this year but one thing worries me…so is everyone else. The big play ability he showed in Pittsburgh’s new found pass attack may have people jumping on him too early. I would advise to grab him in the 5th round (4th if there has been a run on receivers and you are lacking options).
19. Dwayne Bowe (Chiefs): Bowe is on his way to being a superstar. You may be wondering how I can rate Bowe this high when he has Brody Croyle throwing to him right? Well he had no quarterback last year either and caught 70 balls for 5tds as a rookie. He is a good 6th round selection.
20. Marvin Harrison (Colts): Lets assume Harrison is healthy and back in the starting lineup. He is worth a shot in the 5th-6th round.
Also consider: Santana Moss (Redskins), Laveranues Coles (Jets), Calvin Johnson (Lions), Lee Evans (Bills), Roddy White (Falcons), Chris Chambers (Chargers), Bobby Engram (Seahawks)
Sleepers: Anthony Gonzalez (Colts), Patrick Crayton (Cowboys), Bryant Johnson (49ers), Jerricho Cotchery (Jets), Nate Burleson (Seahawks)
In a pass happy league, you would think there would be an ample amount of receivers to choose from. There aren’t. Consider the fact that you need 3 receivers in most leagues, there is not much to choose from by the time you get to the mid rounds. Receiver is a tough position, don’t jump for one but be mindful if there is a run on them in your draft. You may need to take guy a round earlier than normal.
1. Randy Moss (Patriots): Moss was super human in 2007 catching 23 td’s and gaining almost 1500 yards. He scored 2 or more td’s in 8 of 16 games. As long as Moss has Brady throwing him the ball he will be lethal. Don’t expect 13 scores again this year but 15-18 is definitely realistic. Normally, I would never advise to take a wide receiver in the 1st round but Moss is worth a shot somewhere around picks 10-12.
2. Terrell Owens (Cowboys): If healthy, T.O. is a guarantee to scores 10 td’s. He seems to have good chemistry with Tony Romo and he was even a model citizen last year. Owens is worth a 2nd round pick.
3. Reggie Wayne (Colts): No Harrison? No problem. With Marvin Harrison on the shelf Wayne stepped up in a big way for Indy catching 104 balls for over 1500 yards. He scored 10 times and that should be what you can expect in 2008. Wayne is a late 2nd, early 3rd round pick.
4. Steve Smith (Panthers): With Delhomme at quarterback, Smith had 4 td’s and 271 yards over the first two games. His production suffered once Jake went down but guess what? Not only is Delhomme back but he has Muhammad and Hackett to take some pressure off of him. Smith should be there at the end of the 2nd round or beginning of the 3rd. If he is available in round 3 don’t think twice about taking him.
5. Braylon Edwards (Browns): Edwards showed last year why he was the # 3 pick in the 2005 draft. After 2 average seasons, Edwards exploded for 16 tds. Whether it is Quinn or Anderson throwing him the ball, he should be good for 10 plus scores again.
6. Larry Fitzgerald (Cardinals): Fitzgerald is a stud. He missed some games due to injury in 2006 but in 2005 and 2007 he had 100 plus catches with 10 tds. Leinart or Warner will find him early and often. He is a solid late 2nd, early 3rd round pick.
7. Marques Colston (Saints): Colston has been a star since his rookie year in 2006. Combined with Drew Brees he thrives in New Orleans pass happy offense. He will get a lot of catches, yards and most importantly td’s. He is a great 3rd round choice,
8. Torry Holt (Rams): I’m big on consistency and Holt has put up terrific numbers since 2000. The Rams were a mess last year and he still managed almost 1200 yards and 7 tds. With a healthy supporting cast I expect him to add a few more td’s and be worth a 3rd round selection.
9. T.J. Houshmandzadeh (Bengals): Always a great compliment to Chad Johnson, T.J broke out in 2007 catching 112 balls and scoring 12 times. He is becoming Carson palmer’s favorite target and is in a contract year which tends to give players extra motivation. He should be a 3rd round selection (seeing a trend here?)
10. Andre Johnson (Texans): A lot of people are not sold on Johnson but I am. He missed 7 games due to injury in 2007 which kept his overall number down. But consider this: In 9 games he put up 6 catches, 851 yards and 8 td’s. If he picks up where he left off you could be looking at a big fantasy season. He could blow up this year, maybe even scoring 12-15 times. If you get that kind of production with a 3rd-4th round pick you’ve made a good selection.
11. Plaxico Burress (Giants): Burress and Manning have developed a nice chemistry that has seen 29 td catches the last 3 years. Burress may not get a lot of yardage but he scores. That’s enough for me to take him in the 3rd-4th round.
12. Chad Johnson (Bengals): For all of the baggage, Johnson is still one hell of a receiver. He has a good quarterback throwing him the ball and a great compliment in Houshmandzadeh. But did you know he has only scored 10 tds once in his career? I’d take Johnson in the 4th round.
13. Greg Jennings (Packers): Don’t worry if there is no Brett Favre. When Rodgers took over against Dallas, he and Jennings hooked up 5 times for 87 yards and a score. Jennings was a td machine last year, finding the end zone 12 times in 13 games. He is worth a 4th round selection.
14. Wes Welker (Patriots): Tom Brady can really make your fantasy stock rise can’t he? Welker came out of virtually nowhere to have a career year in 2007. He caught a lot of passes (112) but only had 8 tds. Did you know that he only has 9 td catches for his career? Expect that total to double after 2008 and expect Welker to come off the board in the 4th-5th round.
15. Roy Williams: William is a terrific football player and even more importantly…he’s in a contract year as well. Expect Roy to have a big year if he can stay on the field. He missed 4 games in 2007. Take him in the 4th-5th round and expect nice production.
16. Anquan Boldin (Cardinals): Boldin will get his catches but hasn’t been a bid td guy throughout his career (20 in his first 4 years). He did score 9 in 12 games in 2007 so maybe that trend is changing. He is a nice 4th-5th round selection.
17. Brandon Marshall (Broncos): Marshall scares me this year. He was terrific in 2007 with 102 catches and 7 scores but off the field problems and an arm laceration have him off to a bad start in 2008. He may still miss time due to a suspension for off the field conduct. I’d take him in the 5th round because of upside but I wouldn’t feel good about it.
18. Santonio Homes (Steelers): I am huge on Holmes this year but one thing worries me…so is everyone else. The big play ability he showed in Pittsburgh’s new found pass attack may have people jumping on him too early. I would advise to grab him in the 5th round (4th if there has been a run on receivers and you are lacking options).
19. Dwayne Bowe (Chiefs): Bowe is on his way to being a superstar. You may be wondering how I can rate Bowe this high when he has Brody Croyle throwing to him right? Well he had no quarterback last year either and caught 70 balls for 5tds as a rookie. He is a good 6th round selection.
20. Marvin Harrison (Colts): Lets assume Harrison is healthy and back in the starting lineup. He is worth a shot in the 5th-6th round.
Also consider: Santana Moss (Redskins), Laveranues Coles (Jets), Calvin Johnson (Lions), Lee Evans (Bills), Roddy White (Falcons), Chris Chambers (Chargers), Bobby Engram (Seahawks)
Sleepers: Anthony Gonzalez (Colts), Patrick Crayton (Cowboys), Bryant Johnson (49ers), Jerricho Cotchery (Jets), Nate Burleson (Seahawks)
Rookie RB's to keep an eye on
By: Sachie
There are quite a few rookie runners who could make a big impact this season. Here is a list (in no specific order) of rookie running backs you should at least keep an eye on.
Jonathan Stewart (Panthers): I think Stewart will have the most impact of any rookie runner this year (Sorry Darren McFadden). He can catch the ball and is an explosive runner. Even if he gets as many carries as DeShaun Foster did in 2007 (247), Stewart will be worth a pick in the 4th or 5th round. If he is named the starter, he is a legit number 2 back and could be taken in the 3rd round. Look for him to challenge for offensive rookie of the year.
Rashard Mendenhall (Steelers): Mendenhall will come into the forefront during the preseason as fans get a look at what a monster he is. His nickname is “The Undertaker” because of his punishing running style. How can a guy nicknamed “The Undertaker” NOT get goal line carries?! He will. I see Mendenhall touching the ball about 8-10 times a game and getting the scoring chances. He may play a role similar to what Jerome Bettis did in 2005 when he had 9 tds on only 110 carries. Keep in mind that Mike Tomlin is not Bill Cowher and the Steelers will throw to guys like Heath Miller inside the 5 yard line as well. Still, I see Mendenhall scoring 7-8 times this season. He would be a really nice pickup in the 6th or 7th round in a touchdown league.
Darren McFadden (Raiders): McFadden is coming into 2008 with all the hype. The only problem is he plays for the Raiders. The team is a conundrum. They have 3 running backs who can contribute this season in McFadden, Fargis, and…Michael Bush (forget about him?). Hey, is Lamont Jordan still alive? If JaMarcus Russell struggles, teams will put 8 men in the box and with a suspect o-line to begin with, McFadden may struggle a bit. Someone will jump on him too early in your draft. Let them. If McFadden is there is in the 4th or 5th round he may be worth a shot but do not take him too high.
Matt Forte (Bears): I was really high on Forte until the Bears picked up Kevin Jones. What once looked like an unquestioned feature back might now lose 5-10 carries a game to Jones. Pay attention to the Bears intentions with Forte. If he is named the unquestioned starter, he is worth a pick in the 4th round or so and could be your # 2 back. If not, think of him more of a number 3 back with upside.
Felix Jones (Cowboys): Felix Jones will be like Julius Jones ultra light in terms of playing time. He will get some carries between the 20’s but unless he breaks one (which is possible considering an 8.7 YPC in college last year) he will not score much. The Cowboys didn’t pay Barber big bucks to not feature him. On the flip side, they didn’t draft Jones in the 1st round to sit and Barber’s running style does make him a possible injury risk. Take Jones very late in your drafts as a # 4 back as he may get you some yardage during a bye week. In a touchdown league he may be useless.
Kevin Smith (Detroit): Tatum Bell has been a disappointment in Detroit and Kevin Jones is making things difficult for fantasy players in Chicago. Smith could be a workhorse type back for the Lions. If he is the starter going into the season (and I suspect he will be) he will be worth a pick in the 7th or 8th as your # 3 back.
Ryan Torain (Broncos): Does anything surprise you with the Broncos when it comes to running backs? Torain could be irrelevant or rush for 1,500 yards with Mike Shanahan making the decisions. If I had to guess, at 6-1 and 220lbs, he could get some goal line carries. Depending on what you see in the preseason, he could be worth a pick toward the end of your draft. If not, keep an eye on him on the waiver wire.
Chris Johnson (Titans): The rumors on Johnson is that the Titans plan to use him a lot like the Saints use Reggie Bush. They will try and get him the ball in space. Depending on the health of Lendale White’s knee, Johnson could be a huge sleeper. He’s worth a late round selection in the 8th or 9th round. He could have a lot of upside.
Ray Rice (Ravens): Willis McGahee is the unquestioned starter but word out of Baltimore is that the Ravens LOVE Ray Rice. Rutger’s all time rushing leader will get some carries in 2008. The team does not have much in the passing department so you could see a nice little 1-2 punch with Rice and McGahee. McGahee has a tendency to get beat up during the season so Rice may be a nice handcuff pick late if you have taken McGahee in the 1st or 2nd round. If McGahee goes down for a long period of time and Rice is on the waiver wire, jump all over him.
Steve Slaton (Texans): At various points in the season last year, the Texans featured Ron Dayne, Ahman Green, and Darious Walker. They spent a 3rd round pick on Slaton whose speed can change a game in a hurry. Gary Kubiak runs the same zone blocking system that the Broncos do so Slaton could end up being a big time sleeper. Keep an eye on how the Texans use him the preseason. It could be worth a shot taking a flyer on him. If not, keep an eye on him on the waiver wire.
Tim Hightower (Cardinals): Hightower has good size but I’m not sure how good of an overall runner he is. He ran a 4.6 40 which means he’s not breaking many runs. He won’t get drafted.
Jamaal Charles (Chiefs): Herm Edwards has already said he plans to take some of the work load off of Larry Johnson. Those carries could go to Charles who the Chiefs took in the 3rd round. He has no initial fantasy value unless LJ goes down.
There are quite a few rookie runners who could make a big impact this season. Here is a list (in no specific order) of rookie running backs you should at least keep an eye on.
Jonathan Stewart (Panthers): I think Stewart will have the most impact of any rookie runner this year (Sorry Darren McFadden). He can catch the ball and is an explosive runner. Even if he gets as many carries as DeShaun Foster did in 2007 (247), Stewart will be worth a pick in the 4th or 5th round. If he is named the starter, he is a legit number 2 back and could be taken in the 3rd round. Look for him to challenge for offensive rookie of the year.
Rashard Mendenhall (Steelers): Mendenhall will come into the forefront during the preseason as fans get a look at what a monster he is. His nickname is “The Undertaker” because of his punishing running style. How can a guy nicknamed “The Undertaker” NOT get goal line carries?! He will. I see Mendenhall touching the ball about 8-10 times a game and getting the scoring chances. He may play a role similar to what Jerome Bettis did in 2005 when he had 9 tds on only 110 carries. Keep in mind that Mike Tomlin is not Bill Cowher and the Steelers will throw to guys like Heath Miller inside the 5 yard line as well. Still, I see Mendenhall scoring 7-8 times this season. He would be a really nice pickup in the 6th or 7th round in a touchdown league.
Darren McFadden (Raiders): McFadden is coming into 2008 with all the hype. The only problem is he plays for the Raiders. The team is a conundrum. They have 3 running backs who can contribute this season in McFadden, Fargis, and…Michael Bush (forget about him?). Hey, is Lamont Jordan still alive? If JaMarcus Russell struggles, teams will put 8 men in the box and with a suspect o-line to begin with, McFadden may struggle a bit. Someone will jump on him too early in your draft. Let them. If McFadden is there is in the 4th or 5th round he may be worth a shot but do not take him too high.
Matt Forte (Bears): I was really high on Forte until the Bears picked up Kevin Jones. What once looked like an unquestioned feature back might now lose 5-10 carries a game to Jones. Pay attention to the Bears intentions with Forte. If he is named the unquestioned starter, he is worth a pick in the 4th round or so and could be your # 2 back. If not, think of him more of a number 3 back with upside.
Felix Jones (Cowboys): Felix Jones will be like Julius Jones ultra light in terms of playing time. He will get some carries between the 20’s but unless he breaks one (which is possible considering an 8.7 YPC in college last year) he will not score much. The Cowboys didn’t pay Barber big bucks to not feature him. On the flip side, they didn’t draft Jones in the 1st round to sit and Barber’s running style does make him a possible injury risk. Take Jones very late in your drafts as a # 4 back as he may get you some yardage during a bye week. In a touchdown league he may be useless.
Kevin Smith (Detroit): Tatum Bell has been a disappointment in Detroit and Kevin Jones is making things difficult for fantasy players in Chicago. Smith could be a workhorse type back for the Lions. If he is the starter going into the season (and I suspect he will be) he will be worth a pick in the 7th or 8th as your # 3 back.
Ryan Torain (Broncos): Does anything surprise you with the Broncos when it comes to running backs? Torain could be irrelevant or rush for 1,500 yards with Mike Shanahan making the decisions. If I had to guess, at 6-1 and 220lbs, he could get some goal line carries. Depending on what you see in the preseason, he could be worth a pick toward the end of your draft. If not, keep an eye on him on the waiver wire.
Chris Johnson (Titans): The rumors on Johnson is that the Titans plan to use him a lot like the Saints use Reggie Bush. They will try and get him the ball in space. Depending on the health of Lendale White’s knee, Johnson could be a huge sleeper. He’s worth a late round selection in the 8th or 9th round. He could have a lot of upside.
Ray Rice (Ravens): Willis McGahee is the unquestioned starter but word out of Baltimore is that the Ravens LOVE Ray Rice. Rutger’s all time rushing leader will get some carries in 2008. The team does not have much in the passing department so you could see a nice little 1-2 punch with Rice and McGahee. McGahee has a tendency to get beat up during the season so Rice may be a nice handcuff pick late if you have taken McGahee in the 1st or 2nd round. If McGahee goes down for a long period of time and Rice is on the waiver wire, jump all over him.
Steve Slaton (Texans): At various points in the season last year, the Texans featured Ron Dayne, Ahman Green, and Darious Walker. They spent a 3rd round pick on Slaton whose speed can change a game in a hurry. Gary Kubiak runs the same zone blocking system that the Broncos do so Slaton could end up being a big time sleeper. Keep an eye on how the Texans use him the preseason. It could be worth a shot taking a flyer on him. If not, keep an eye on him on the waiver wire.
Tim Hightower (Cardinals): Hightower has good size but I’m not sure how good of an overall runner he is. He ran a 4.6 40 which means he’s not breaking many runs. He won’t get drafted.
Jamaal Charles (Chiefs): Herm Edwards has already said he plans to take some of the work load off of Larry Johnson. Those carries could go to Charles who the Chiefs took in the 3rd round. He has no initial fantasy value unless LJ goes down.
RB Rankings
The days of your first two picks having to be running backs are officially over. In this years draft you’re going to see at least two QB's and one WR taken in the first round. With that being said, the good news is that you should be able to get a pretty solid RB in the 1st round if you don’t want to reach for either Brady, Manning, or Moss. In my opinion you have to draft at least one RB in the first two rounds. I agree that drafting strategy has changed and would not recommend a RB in both the 1st and 2nd round but you NEED to pick one up by the end of the 2nd round in order to have a successful team. The following is a list of my top 20 RB's. One caveat to this list is that I do not take receptions into consideration; the only real player this would affect is Brian Westbrook.
1. L. Tomlinson (Chargers) - Best RB hands down, no arguments. He should go #1 in every single draft. Averages 21 rushing TD's a year for the last three years and could throw a couple each year. Slowing down a little but look for him to get you 1,400 yards and 14-17 TD's this year.
2. A. Peterson (Vikings) - Could be the best athlete of the RB's. Have to question his ability to stay healthy and lack of QB could allow defenses to stack up against him. Ran for over 1,300 yards and 12 TD's last year. Has a great offensive line but awful QB. If Farve lands in Minnesota Peterson's stock sky rockets but don’t expect the Packers to let him go to the arch rival. Project Peterson to get you 1,600 yards and 12-15 TD's without Farve.
3. S. Jackson (Rams) - The offensive line was decimated last year and Jackson pulled his groin and still managed over 1,000 yards and 5 TD's. In 2006 a healthy Jackson had 16 TD's (13 rushing). The Rams are an improved team this year and everyone is healthy (for now). If he can stay healthy, expect totals closer to his 2006 numbers. Look for S. Jack to get you 1,300 yards and 10-13 TD's but has great upside to get you more.
4. J. Addai (Colts) - He plays for a winning team that likes to score points, lots of points. He has exceeded 1,000 yards in each of his first two years in the league. He had more red zone carries than any other RB in the NFL last year so he is a trusted commodity near paydirt. Don't let the acquisition of RB Dominic Rhodes deter you. Look for Addai to get you 1,200 yards and 10-13 TD's. Solid RB anywhere around the 4-8 hole of the draft.
5. B. Westbrook (Eagles) - Exciting back that will get you yards, receptions, and some TD's. If your league focuses on TD's I would rank him lower than 5. Westbrook is a prime example of a risk/reward player. He is prone to injury and doesn’t have much of a supporting cast in Philly so a heavy workload year in and year out could lead to injury but could also lead to a big year. Assuming he stays healthy, he is one of the best in the game. If healthy, look for him to get you 1,100 yards (rushing) and 10-12 total TD's (rushing and receiving).
6. M. Barber (Cowboys) - "Marion and Barbarian". He has a knack at picking up short yardage and wont be splitting carries at least this year with Felix Jones. Great pick in a TD league, wont get you the total yardage other RB's will but should have a great year as the featured back for the first time in his career. Has a great supporting cast and this offense will light it up this year, so look for Barber to cash in. I project him to get 1,100 yards and 12-15 TD's. Great pick toward the end of the 1st round.
7. C. Portis (Redskins) - Portis was back to his Denver days last year totaling over 1,200 yards and 11 rushing TD's. He carried the load last year and will have to again with unproven QB Jason Campbell at the helm. I don’t expect Portis to exceed or even replicate last years numbers but consider him a solid RB toward the end of the 1st round. Look for him to get 1,100 yards and 7-9 TD's.
8. F. Gore (49ers) - Two forces going in opposite directions will affect Gore this year. They are Mike Martz and Alex Smith. Martz has the scheme to make Gore great and a real commodity in fantasy football, while Alex Smith, well he’s awful and kills the value of Gore. I believe Martz's system alone will allow Gore to improve on his '07 numbers of 1,102 and 5 rushing TD's. Good late first round pick (11 or 12). Look for him to get you 1,200 yards and 7-9 TD's.
9. M. Lynch (Bills) - Had a great rookie year gaining 1,115 yards and 7 TD's. Buffalo will have an improved offense this year and they like to run the ball especially in the chilly Buffalo weather later in the season. Lynch is a great second RB and low-end #1. Look for Lynch to get you 1,200 yards and 7-9 TD's this year with potential to surprise you this year.
10. L. Johnson (Chiefs) - We all know the numbers he is capable of (1,800 yards and 19 TD's in 2007) unfortunately the Chiefs don't have the same offensive line as 2007 coupled with the fact that the Chiefs have one of the worst starting QB's in the NFL. LJ is 29, coming off an injury to his foot, has a terrible QB, and not much of an offensive line. With that being said he would be a good #2 RB, look for him to get you 1,100 yards and 7-9 TD's.
11. W. McGahee (Ravens) - McGahee had a good year last year making his 1st Pro Bowl. He was on a bad team with a bad QB and battered o-line and still managed 1,200 and 7 TD's. Look for him to get you 1,100 yards and 7-9 TD's this year. McGahee isnt going to shock anyone this year, he is a consistent back but doesn’t have the potential to get you 10-12 TD's. Good #2 back.
12. J. Lewis (Browns) - This guy is an animal/bruiser. He came back to life last year after everyone thought his career was over. The Browns offense is going to be explosive this year with all of their weapons. The appealing aspect to Lewis is that he doesn’t split goal line carries with anyone. He is getting older at age 29 and has logged a lot of carries throughout his carrier. Look for Lewis to approach 1,000 yards and get you 7-10 TD's this year.
13. M. Jones-Drew (Jaguars) - Jones-Drew has is a reliable RB with a high potential for touchdowns. The downside is that he will split carries with Fred Taylor but Jones-Drew still gets the majority of the goal-line work. Consider him a very good #2 RB and is worth a mid to late second round pick. Look for Jones-Drew to approach 1,000 yards and has the potential to get you double digit TD’s.
14. B. Jacobs (Giants) – Everyone’s concern here is injury and rightfully so but if this guy stays healthy the upside is well worth the pick. In a TD league he is extremely valuable. He will get the majority of the goal line carries, he’s in a contract year (show me the money), and he’s proven he can score. The Giants offense will put up some points this year so look for Jacobs to have a good ’08 campaign. I’m big on Jacobs this year and think he would be a great #2 back that you can probably get in the fourth round. Look for him to get you 1,100 and 8-10 TD’s with the potential for more TD’s.
15. R. Grant (Packers) - No Farve is going to equate to a tough year for R. Grant. If your a believer in A. Rodgers then you should feel comfortable taking this guy a little higher than 15, but I have no reason to believe in A. Rodgers and don’t tell me about the 1/2 of football he played against Dallas, that’s not enough. Not sold on Grant, was mediocre at ND, got cut in NY and has no Farve this year. A full year with A. Rodgers at QB will get Grant 1,100 yards and 6-8 TD's at best.
16. L. Maroney (Pats) – Here is another guy with pretty big upside, the problem is obviously Tom Brady and Randy Moss. Maroney is a talented runner, if the Pats can show that they are dedicated to running the ball or maintaining a balanced offense he could be a stud. As it stands Brady and Moss own the offensive show in New England. Look for a healthy Maroney to improve from last year and approach 1,100 yards and get 6-7 TD’s.
17. R. Bush (Saints) – Could be the steal as far as #2 RB’s go. I think Bush will have a breakout season this year and could get you double digit TD’s. He is a very versatile and talented player who has yet to breakout. I think Brees will find ways to get Bush the ball. If receptions count in your league, rank Bush a couple of notches higher than 17. New Orleans will be creative this year and I expect Bush to capitalize. Bush is a very good #2 RB. Look for Bush to approach 1,000 yards rushing and get you a total of 8-10 TD’s this season.
18. R. Johnson (Bengals) – Going into last year, R. Johnson was a sure 1st round pick and had 12 TD’s three years in a row. One year later, and an injured hamstring, my how things have changed. I would consider Johnson a low end #2 RB with decent potential to surprise this year but K. Watson is hot on his trail and the Bengals are going to struggle this year. I think Johnson is past his prime, expect to get 800-1,000 yards and 5-7 TD’s.
19. W. Parker (Steelers) – Parker has three straight 1,200+ yard years, however, his touchdown production dropped off significantly last year. In 2006 he had 16 total TD’s and last year he had only 2. If you get rewarded highly for just yards in your league then Parker should be rated much higher than 20, however, if receptions and TD’s are worth anything then Parker will struggle for you this year, he doesn’t catch the ball out of the backfield and by drafting R. Mendenhall that signifies the end of Parkers goal line touches.
20. E. Graham (Bucs) - Graham had a breakout year in 2007 after Cadillac went down with a bum knee. The fact that Gruden stacks talent at skilled positions (Warrick Dunn, Cadillac Williams, and Michael Bennett) will make any Graham owner nervous but you can expect Graham to get the goal line carries and is the lead candidate to start opening day for the Bucs. Look for Graham to get you 1,100 yards and 6-9 TD's. He could be a sleeper this year and has potential to get you 10+ TD's very easily.
OTHER NOTABLES:
Michael Turner (Falcons) - will struggle this year, the Falcons are god awful and have an unproven starting QB, look for defenses to stack the line against Turner and shut him down all year.
D. McFadden (Raiders) – I can only hope that people in my draft reach for this guy. The Raiders and going to struggle again this year and Russell is unproven. McFadden is not the Adrian Peterson of this year and would a bad #2 back on your team.
R. Brown (Dolphins) – Had a good start to the season last year but tore his ACL. I stay away from players that have knee issues especially the year after the injury. He could be back to normal but typically an ACL takes two full years to totally recover. Buyers beware with Ronnie Brown this year.
J. Stewart (Panthers) – Stewart will have the best rookie RB’s campaign of the bunch. I don’t recommend him as a #2 back but would be a great #3 back. He will be the featured back at the start of the season as D. Williams has fallen out of favor with Coach Fox.
1. L. Tomlinson (Chargers) - Best RB hands down, no arguments. He should go #1 in every single draft. Averages 21 rushing TD's a year for the last three years and could throw a couple each year. Slowing down a little but look for him to get you 1,400 yards and 14-17 TD's this year.
2. A. Peterson (Vikings) - Could be the best athlete of the RB's. Have to question his ability to stay healthy and lack of QB could allow defenses to stack up against him. Ran for over 1,300 yards and 12 TD's last year. Has a great offensive line but awful QB. If Farve lands in Minnesota Peterson's stock sky rockets but don’t expect the Packers to let him go to the arch rival. Project Peterson to get you 1,600 yards and 12-15 TD's without Farve.
3. S. Jackson (Rams) - The offensive line was decimated last year and Jackson pulled his groin and still managed over 1,000 yards and 5 TD's. In 2006 a healthy Jackson had 16 TD's (13 rushing). The Rams are an improved team this year and everyone is healthy (for now). If he can stay healthy, expect totals closer to his 2006 numbers. Look for S. Jack to get you 1,300 yards and 10-13 TD's but has great upside to get you more.
4. J. Addai (Colts) - He plays for a winning team that likes to score points, lots of points. He has exceeded 1,000 yards in each of his first two years in the league. He had more red zone carries than any other RB in the NFL last year so he is a trusted commodity near paydirt. Don't let the acquisition of RB Dominic Rhodes deter you. Look for Addai to get you 1,200 yards and 10-13 TD's. Solid RB anywhere around the 4-8 hole of the draft.
5. B. Westbrook (Eagles) - Exciting back that will get you yards, receptions, and some TD's. If your league focuses on TD's I would rank him lower than 5. Westbrook is a prime example of a risk/reward player. He is prone to injury and doesn’t have much of a supporting cast in Philly so a heavy workload year in and year out could lead to injury but could also lead to a big year. Assuming he stays healthy, he is one of the best in the game. If healthy, look for him to get you 1,100 yards (rushing) and 10-12 total TD's (rushing and receiving).
6. M. Barber (Cowboys) - "Marion and Barbarian". He has a knack at picking up short yardage and wont be splitting carries at least this year with Felix Jones. Great pick in a TD league, wont get you the total yardage other RB's will but should have a great year as the featured back for the first time in his career. Has a great supporting cast and this offense will light it up this year, so look for Barber to cash in. I project him to get 1,100 yards and 12-15 TD's. Great pick toward the end of the 1st round.
7. C. Portis (Redskins) - Portis was back to his Denver days last year totaling over 1,200 yards and 11 rushing TD's. He carried the load last year and will have to again with unproven QB Jason Campbell at the helm. I don’t expect Portis to exceed or even replicate last years numbers but consider him a solid RB toward the end of the 1st round. Look for him to get 1,100 yards and 7-9 TD's.
8. F. Gore (49ers) - Two forces going in opposite directions will affect Gore this year. They are Mike Martz and Alex Smith. Martz has the scheme to make Gore great and a real commodity in fantasy football, while Alex Smith, well he’s awful and kills the value of Gore. I believe Martz's system alone will allow Gore to improve on his '07 numbers of 1,102 and 5 rushing TD's. Good late first round pick (11 or 12). Look for him to get you 1,200 yards and 7-9 TD's.
9. M. Lynch (Bills) - Had a great rookie year gaining 1,115 yards and 7 TD's. Buffalo will have an improved offense this year and they like to run the ball especially in the chilly Buffalo weather later in the season. Lynch is a great second RB and low-end #1. Look for Lynch to get you 1,200 yards and 7-9 TD's this year with potential to surprise you this year.
10. L. Johnson (Chiefs) - We all know the numbers he is capable of (1,800 yards and 19 TD's in 2007) unfortunately the Chiefs don't have the same offensive line as 2007 coupled with the fact that the Chiefs have one of the worst starting QB's in the NFL. LJ is 29, coming off an injury to his foot, has a terrible QB, and not much of an offensive line. With that being said he would be a good #2 RB, look for him to get you 1,100 yards and 7-9 TD's.
11. W. McGahee (Ravens) - McGahee had a good year last year making his 1st Pro Bowl. He was on a bad team with a bad QB and battered o-line and still managed 1,200 and 7 TD's. Look for him to get you 1,100 yards and 7-9 TD's this year. McGahee isnt going to shock anyone this year, he is a consistent back but doesn’t have the potential to get you 10-12 TD's. Good #2 back.
12. J. Lewis (Browns) - This guy is an animal/bruiser. He came back to life last year after everyone thought his career was over. The Browns offense is going to be explosive this year with all of their weapons. The appealing aspect to Lewis is that he doesn’t split goal line carries with anyone. He is getting older at age 29 and has logged a lot of carries throughout his carrier. Look for Lewis to approach 1,000 yards and get you 7-10 TD's this year.
13. M. Jones-Drew (Jaguars) - Jones-Drew has is a reliable RB with a high potential for touchdowns. The downside is that he will split carries with Fred Taylor but Jones-Drew still gets the majority of the goal-line work. Consider him a very good #2 RB and is worth a mid to late second round pick. Look for Jones-Drew to approach 1,000 yards and has the potential to get you double digit TD’s.
14. B. Jacobs (Giants) – Everyone’s concern here is injury and rightfully so but if this guy stays healthy the upside is well worth the pick. In a TD league he is extremely valuable. He will get the majority of the goal line carries, he’s in a contract year (show me the money), and he’s proven he can score. The Giants offense will put up some points this year so look for Jacobs to have a good ’08 campaign. I’m big on Jacobs this year and think he would be a great #2 back that you can probably get in the fourth round. Look for him to get you 1,100 and 8-10 TD’s with the potential for more TD’s.
15. R. Grant (Packers) - No Farve is going to equate to a tough year for R. Grant. If your a believer in A. Rodgers then you should feel comfortable taking this guy a little higher than 15, but I have no reason to believe in A. Rodgers and don’t tell me about the 1/2 of football he played against Dallas, that’s not enough. Not sold on Grant, was mediocre at ND, got cut in NY and has no Farve this year. A full year with A. Rodgers at QB will get Grant 1,100 yards and 6-8 TD's at best.
16. L. Maroney (Pats) – Here is another guy with pretty big upside, the problem is obviously Tom Brady and Randy Moss. Maroney is a talented runner, if the Pats can show that they are dedicated to running the ball or maintaining a balanced offense he could be a stud. As it stands Brady and Moss own the offensive show in New England. Look for a healthy Maroney to improve from last year and approach 1,100 yards and get 6-7 TD’s.
17. R. Bush (Saints) – Could be the steal as far as #2 RB’s go. I think Bush will have a breakout season this year and could get you double digit TD’s. He is a very versatile and talented player who has yet to breakout. I think Brees will find ways to get Bush the ball. If receptions count in your league, rank Bush a couple of notches higher than 17. New Orleans will be creative this year and I expect Bush to capitalize. Bush is a very good #2 RB. Look for Bush to approach 1,000 yards rushing and get you a total of 8-10 TD’s this season.
18. R. Johnson (Bengals) – Going into last year, R. Johnson was a sure 1st round pick and had 12 TD’s three years in a row. One year later, and an injured hamstring, my how things have changed. I would consider Johnson a low end #2 RB with decent potential to surprise this year but K. Watson is hot on his trail and the Bengals are going to struggle this year. I think Johnson is past his prime, expect to get 800-1,000 yards and 5-7 TD’s.
19. W. Parker (Steelers) – Parker has three straight 1,200+ yard years, however, his touchdown production dropped off significantly last year. In 2006 he had 16 total TD’s and last year he had only 2. If you get rewarded highly for just yards in your league then Parker should be rated much higher than 20, however, if receptions and TD’s are worth anything then Parker will struggle for you this year, he doesn’t catch the ball out of the backfield and by drafting R. Mendenhall that signifies the end of Parkers goal line touches.
20. E. Graham (Bucs) - Graham had a breakout year in 2007 after Cadillac went down with a bum knee. The fact that Gruden stacks talent at skilled positions (Warrick Dunn, Cadillac Williams, and Michael Bennett) will make any Graham owner nervous but you can expect Graham to get the goal line carries and is the lead candidate to start opening day for the Bucs. Look for Graham to get you 1,100 yards and 6-9 TD's. He could be a sleeper this year and has potential to get you 10+ TD's very easily.
OTHER NOTABLES:
Michael Turner (Falcons) - will struggle this year, the Falcons are god awful and have an unproven starting QB, look for defenses to stack the line against Turner and shut him down all year.
D. McFadden (Raiders) – I can only hope that people in my draft reach for this guy. The Raiders and going to struggle again this year and Russell is unproven. McFadden is not the Adrian Peterson of this year and would a bad #2 back on your team.
R. Brown (Dolphins) – Had a good start to the season last year but tore his ACL. I stay away from players that have knee issues especially the year after the injury. He could be back to normal but typically an ACL takes two full years to totally recover. Buyers beware with Ronnie Brown this year.
J. Stewart (Panthers) – Stewart will have the best rookie RB’s campaign of the bunch. I don’t recommend him as a #2 back but would be a great #3 back. He will be the featured back at the start of the season as D. Williams has fallen out of favor with Coach Fox.
Tuesday, July 15, 2008
Quarterback Rankings
Quarterback Overview: Sachie
As any serious fantasy football player can tell you, the landscape of the game has changed a bit. It used to be common practice for players to take a running back in each of the first 2 rounds. Sure you had the Peyton Mannings and Terrell Owens mixed in, but for the most part players would wait on their quarterbacks and receivers.
That style of play is a thing of the past. Part of the reason is the rules in the NFL. Defensive backs can’t touch receivers after 5 yards. This rule heavily favors the offense and it is also the reason we are seeing more teams go to spread type offenses. The result is prolific passing and receiving numbers. Think about it. Two quarterbacks have broken the single season passing touchdown record in the past 4 years. 8 quarterbacks had 28 or more td passes last year alone. However, the quagmire is that it seems like for every good QB there is in the NFL, there is a young QB learning or well…a bad QB.
What does that mean for your draft? Well, if a quarterback can carry you for the whole season, why not take him before a running back? If Tony Romo is going to get you 30-35 scores, why waste a late first round pick on Clinton Portis and get 10-12 scores? It’s a question many players will ask themselves this August. Also, there is a big drop off from the top QB’s to the bottom ones and it’s almost an instant fall.
Here is a breakdown of my top 32 QB’s (based on projected starters) and where I think they may be worth taking in a 12 team, 14 round draft:
1. Tom Brady (Patriots): Brady may have had the best statistical year in history of NFL quarterbacks. With 50 tds he carried most fantasy teams last year. Don’t expect similar numbers this season. It’s just too difficult to duplicate that kind of production. Still, if he averages 1 less td a game he would still throw in the low 30’s. Draft him in the 1st round, but not too high. I would say btw. 6-8 is a perfect spot for Brady.
2. Peyton Manning (Colts): Never missed a game and has never thrown less than 26 td’s in a season. You can mark him down for 4,000 and 30. Don’t worry about Marvin Harrison’s situation being up in the air, Peyton will get his numbers. Reggie Wayne is a stud and Anthony Gonzalez and Dallas Clark will pick up the slack if Harrison is a shell of his former self. Don’t let the minor knee surgery he just had stop you from grabbing Manning anywhere from picks 7-12 in the first round.
3. Tony Romo (Cowboys): I loved Romo last year. I told anyone who would listen that he could throw 25 tds by accident in that offense. He carried my team all the way to championship game. Do I think he will get 38 total td’s again this year? No. But he should put up about 4000 yards and get you around 30 scores. He is a late 1st, low 2nd round pick. If you have the wrap around pick this year you would be wise to grab Romo with one of your selections.
4. Drew Brees (Saints): Brees had an up and down year in 2007 and still threw for 28 TD’s and almost 4,500 yards. If you are in a league where completions count, you may want to put Brees as the # 2 QB. He had 440 completions in 2007! Don’t be scared by his slow start last season (1 td and 7 ints through week 3), it was an aberration. Brees will put up 25 scores and throw for 4000 yards in Sean Payton’s pass happy O. If he is there early in the 2nd round, jump on him. He is also enticing if you have the wrap around pick.
5. Carson Palmer (Bengals): As good as Palmer is statistically, there are some red flags here. Chad Johnson is unhappy and just had ankle surgery (although minor), his offensive line was a mess, and Chris Henry (although crazy) was a terrific 3rd option. His passing td’s have decreased each of the last 3 years (32, 28, 26). Still, Houshmanzadeh had a breakout year in 07 and Johnson (baggage and all) a terrific football player. Carson should be there in the 3rd or 4th round and would be a great value pick there. Even if he struggles, he should get you 25 scores and close to 4,00 yards.
6. Ben Roethlisberger (Steelers): Big Ben had a career year in 2007 tossing 32 td’s and running for 2 more. The Steelers are loaded offensively and Mike Tomlin has the Steelers throwing the ball a lot. Don’t be scared off by Ben’s 2006 season (18 td’s 23 picks) and think 2007 was a fluke. 2006 was the fluke. Roethlisberger is a top 10 fantasy QB and may even be worth taking over Palmer. For now, I am putting him as the number 6 QB on the list and would advice grabbing him in the 4th round.
7. Matt Hasselbeck (Seahawks): If there has ever been an underrated fantasy QB its Hasselbeck. He has put up at least 22 passing scores in 4 out of the last 5 years (injuries kept him to 12 games and 18 tds in 2006). A lot has been made about him not having Branch to start the season but Burleson and Engram combined for 15 of Matt’s 28 scores last season. There is a good chance you could draft 2 RB’s and 3 WR’s and still get Matt in the 6th round. Why risk it though? I would grab him in the 5th and get a consistent performance though 16 games.
8. Eli Manning (Giants): Little high for him right? Well I’m basing this on a couple of things. He is coming off a super bowl win against a team that was 18-0 coming into that game. No one expected them to win and he is a hero in New York. That should keep the pressure off until at least…say…late October. Consider this, Eli has thrown 24, 24, and 23 td’s over the past 3 years with a couple of rushing td’s mixed in. Coming into his 4th full season, with good players all around him, should be a recipe for a good year. Take into consideration he will play in sloppy weather come November and December but my prediction is Eli will take a big jump this year. Grab him in the 6th round in most drafts.
9. Marc Bulger (Rams): Wow, I no longer feel confident in my QB’s! Keep in mind that last season Bulger battled injuries, the loss of Orlando Pace and had a banged up Steven Jackson. Al Saunders is now the OC and I think he will get the Rams offense back to being a solid unit. I think the loss of Issac Bruce will hurt Bulger more than people think but he is a good choice in the 6th round.
10. Donovan McNabb (Eagles): While I think McNabb is a better performer than # 10, he just can’t stay on the field. He only missed 2 games last year but he can’t be trusted to play a full 16 games. Don’t take him any earlier than the 6th round and make sure you get a decent backup, maybe even taking a Cutler or Rivers in, say, the 8th round.
11. Derek Anderson (Browns): You maybe wondering how I can have a guy who threw for 29 td’s last year at number 11? Easy answer, I don’t think he’s going to be starting by mid season. In Anderson’s last 6 games, he threw for 8td’s and 9 picks. He was booed in the Brown’s last game. Cleveland does have weapons all over the field but their schedule is tough. They could easily start out 2-5. If that happens, you could see Brady Quinn. Someone will reach for Anderson in the 3rd or 4h round. Let them. Unless he is there in the middle rounds I would pass on Anderson and if you do draft him, take Quinn with your last pick just in case.
12. Jay Cutler (Broncos): Cutler played well and showed promise last year tossing 20 td passes and throwing for about 3500 yards. If Brandon Marshall is healthy and not suspended, I like Cutler a lot. If Marshall if not up to par, I’m not sure how much Brandon Stokley and Darrel Jackson can help Cutler. Still, he is worth a 6th or 7th round pick and could have big upside for you.
13. Aaron Rodgers (Packers): Rodgers is my boom or bust pick. Mike McCarthy’s offense is very QB friendly. He has Jennings, Driver and a cast of others to throw to. When he took over for an injured Brett Favre in Dallas last year, he played extremely well. Rodgers could end up putting up some terrific numbers this year… he could also be backing up Brett Favre. If Favre does not return to the Pack, Rodgers is worth a shot in the 8th or 9th round. He might be a good insurance pick if you have taken McNabb or Anderson.
14. Philip Rivers (Chargers): Rivers seems like a lock for 20 touchdown passes as he has thrown 22 and 21 in his first 2 years. It took some time for the Chargers to adjust to Norv Turner, but once they did the team took off. In Rivers last 6 games, he threw for 10td’s to only 3 picks. He should be there in the 8th or 9th round and is a low end # 1 option and a terrific # 2 option.
15. Jake Delhomme (Panthers): If Jake is healthy we have a sleeper pick. He had 8 td’s to 1 pick before he went down and had to have Tommy John Surgery. He has a good o-line, Steve Smith, Mushin Muhammad , DJ Hacket and Jonathan Stewart (remember that name). Delhomme is another great # 2 option who could end up starting for you. I would nab him in the 8th round if he is there.
16. David Garrard (Jaguars): Garrard only played 12 games last year and threw for 18 td’s and ran for 1 more. Jacksonville should be a very good team this year and Garrard will put up respectable numbers. I’d use an 8th or 9th round pick on him and sleep easy knowing I have insurance for my starter.
17. Matt Leinart (Cardinals): I am going with the assumption that the Cardinals are going with Leinart this year. If Kurt Warner starts I would probably move him up somewhere btw. 10-13. Warner threw 27 td’s last year and will still probably end up on the bench to start the season. You would have to assume that, if starting, Leinart can put up some decent numbers throwing to Fitzgerald and Boldin and should be worth taking as a backup in the 10th round or so.
18. Jason Campbell (Redskins): Campbell was up and down last year but did show some promise tossing 12 td’s including a stretch of 6 in 3 games from weeks 10-12. New head coach Jim Zorn had said that the team would be throwing a lot more this season. Campbell is nothing more than a backup and should not be considered before the 10th round.
19: Matt Shaub (Texans): Shaub was supposed to come into Houston and be the man. Instead he had a injury plagued season that saw him throw as many (or should I say few) td’s as picks (9) and was outplayed by Sage Rosenfeld. Take into consideration that Gary Kubiak is a good coach and the Texans have an up and coming team. I take Shaub in the backend of the draft someplace in round 10 or 11.
20: Jeff Garcia (Bucs): Garcia is a steady player who won’t kill you. He’s not the touchdown- throwing machine he was in San Fran but he is a serviceable backup. He only threw 13 td’s last year in 13 games but pick him in 10th-11th round or so and hope the week he has to play he throws for a couple of scores
21: Jon Kitna (Lions): I am not a Kitna fan when it comes to my fantasy team. He has thrown more picks (22 and 20 picks the last 2 years) than td’s (21 and 18). He has also fumbled 15 times in the last 2 years. That means a lot of negative points for most of you. With Martz in San Fran, he has a new OC this year. I don’t know what to expect from the Lions but I do know that he has Roy Williams and Calvin Johnson to throw to and that can’t be completely ignored. Plus, we are running out of options here and I’d take Kitna as a backup…late...and pray that the week you need him he doesn’t plan on having 4-5 turnovers.
22. Alex Smith (49ers): Mike Martz has to count for something right? The word bust is starting to be whispered around Smith but I don’t think he is as bad as he is perceived. Smith really did have a decent 2nd season and seemed poised to breakout in 2008. The whole 49er offense was a mess last year and it started with their OC, Jim Hostler (plus Smith played 3 games with a separated shoulder). Alex Smith thrived in a spread offense at Utah and I think he will have a decent season since Martz also runs a spread O. If you still need a backup QB, Smith should be there anytime you want him. Don’t worry about Shawn Hill, I think the 49er QB competition is nothing more than a ploy to motivate Smith.
23: Chad Pennington (Jets): I think the Kellen Clemons experiment is over and Pennington will win the QB battle. The Jets had all kinds of problems last year and Pennington only threw for 10 tds in 9 games. Chad has never been one to put up big numbers but he could be a serviceable play in your starters bye week. He should be there in rounds 12-14.
24. Trent Edwards (Bills): I like Edward’s pocket presence and I think the Bills are going to be a pretty good team. The Bills will run the ball a lot but Edwards could still throw 12-15 tds. He might be a good waiver wire pickup or maybe worth a pick in one of the last rounds.
25. Vince Young (Titans): Oh boy. You know QB’s are thin when Vince Young might get drafted. Someone will take him because he is a name but he is not a good fantasy player. He had 12 combined td’s last year (9 passing and 3 rushing) and 17 picks. I think he will be better this year with Alge Crumpler as a safety net and rookie Chris Johnson possibly breaking a few screen passes. I would not draft him, although someone in your league inevitably will.
26. Tavaris Jackson (Vikings): I can’t see how some of the experts can pick Minnesota to be a super bowl team when they have Jackson under center. But that is for another column. When his team was fighting for a playoff spot, Jackson’s last 3 games saw him throw 5 picks to 3 tds. I think that he will be better than the 9 tds he threw last year but not much. Do not draft.
27. Brody Croyle (Chiefs): Why? Because I really like Dwayne Bowe and Tony Gonzalez. Plus, if you need any of these next 6 qb’s your team probably has issues anyway.
28 JaMarcus Russell (Raiders): Russell will have his ups and downs this year. The Raiders line is suspect as are their receivers. I’m not sold on Javon Walker. If Russell starts to play well he should be on the waiver wire for you to grab.
29: Rex Grossman (Bears): Can you believe that it was just 2 years ago that Grossman was starting on some fantasy teams? Through 10 games in 2006, Grossman has 18 td’s to 11 picks. Since then? 9tds to 16 picks. Other than Greg Olsen, the Bears receivers just are not getting it done and Grossman is a turnover waiting to happen. Don’t touch him.
30: John Beck (Dolphins): Early indications are that Beck looks good in mini camp. Whether it is Beck, Henne or McCown, stay away.
31: Troy Smith (Ravens): If I were Baltimore I would give Flacco the nod sooner than later but until then I think you will see Troy Smith. He did throw a TD in each of his last 2 games but that might be the highlight of his career. Don’t draft a Baltimore QB this year.
32. Matt Ryan (Falcons): Ryan will probably be a good quarterback one day but he is going to take his lumps this season. Maybe by seasons end he might be worth a look on the waiver wire.
As any serious fantasy football player can tell you, the landscape of the game has changed a bit. It used to be common practice for players to take a running back in each of the first 2 rounds. Sure you had the Peyton Mannings and Terrell Owens mixed in, but for the most part players would wait on their quarterbacks and receivers.
That style of play is a thing of the past. Part of the reason is the rules in the NFL. Defensive backs can’t touch receivers after 5 yards. This rule heavily favors the offense and it is also the reason we are seeing more teams go to spread type offenses. The result is prolific passing and receiving numbers. Think about it. Two quarterbacks have broken the single season passing touchdown record in the past 4 years. 8 quarterbacks had 28 or more td passes last year alone. However, the quagmire is that it seems like for every good QB there is in the NFL, there is a young QB learning or well…a bad QB.
What does that mean for your draft? Well, if a quarterback can carry you for the whole season, why not take him before a running back? If Tony Romo is going to get you 30-35 scores, why waste a late first round pick on Clinton Portis and get 10-12 scores? It’s a question many players will ask themselves this August. Also, there is a big drop off from the top QB’s to the bottom ones and it’s almost an instant fall.
Here is a breakdown of my top 32 QB’s (based on projected starters) and where I think they may be worth taking in a 12 team, 14 round draft:
1. Tom Brady (Patriots): Brady may have had the best statistical year in history of NFL quarterbacks. With 50 tds he carried most fantasy teams last year. Don’t expect similar numbers this season. It’s just too difficult to duplicate that kind of production. Still, if he averages 1 less td a game he would still throw in the low 30’s. Draft him in the 1st round, but not too high. I would say btw. 6-8 is a perfect spot for Brady.
2. Peyton Manning (Colts): Never missed a game and has never thrown less than 26 td’s in a season. You can mark him down for 4,000 and 30. Don’t worry about Marvin Harrison’s situation being up in the air, Peyton will get his numbers. Reggie Wayne is a stud and Anthony Gonzalez and Dallas Clark will pick up the slack if Harrison is a shell of his former self. Don’t let the minor knee surgery he just had stop you from grabbing Manning anywhere from picks 7-12 in the first round.
3. Tony Romo (Cowboys): I loved Romo last year. I told anyone who would listen that he could throw 25 tds by accident in that offense. He carried my team all the way to championship game. Do I think he will get 38 total td’s again this year? No. But he should put up about 4000 yards and get you around 30 scores. He is a late 1st, low 2nd round pick. If you have the wrap around pick this year you would be wise to grab Romo with one of your selections.
4. Drew Brees (Saints): Brees had an up and down year in 2007 and still threw for 28 TD’s and almost 4,500 yards. If you are in a league where completions count, you may want to put Brees as the # 2 QB. He had 440 completions in 2007! Don’t be scared by his slow start last season (1 td and 7 ints through week 3), it was an aberration. Brees will put up 25 scores and throw for 4000 yards in Sean Payton’s pass happy O. If he is there early in the 2nd round, jump on him. He is also enticing if you have the wrap around pick.
5. Carson Palmer (Bengals): As good as Palmer is statistically, there are some red flags here. Chad Johnson is unhappy and just had ankle surgery (although minor), his offensive line was a mess, and Chris Henry (although crazy) was a terrific 3rd option. His passing td’s have decreased each of the last 3 years (32, 28, 26). Still, Houshmanzadeh had a breakout year in 07 and Johnson (baggage and all) a terrific football player. Carson should be there in the 3rd or 4th round and would be a great value pick there. Even if he struggles, he should get you 25 scores and close to 4,00 yards.
6. Ben Roethlisberger (Steelers): Big Ben had a career year in 2007 tossing 32 td’s and running for 2 more. The Steelers are loaded offensively and Mike Tomlin has the Steelers throwing the ball a lot. Don’t be scared off by Ben’s 2006 season (18 td’s 23 picks) and think 2007 was a fluke. 2006 was the fluke. Roethlisberger is a top 10 fantasy QB and may even be worth taking over Palmer. For now, I am putting him as the number 6 QB on the list and would advice grabbing him in the 4th round.
7. Matt Hasselbeck (Seahawks): If there has ever been an underrated fantasy QB its Hasselbeck. He has put up at least 22 passing scores in 4 out of the last 5 years (injuries kept him to 12 games and 18 tds in 2006). A lot has been made about him not having Branch to start the season but Burleson and Engram combined for 15 of Matt’s 28 scores last season. There is a good chance you could draft 2 RB’s and 3 WR’s and still get Matt in the 6th round. Why risk it though? I would grab him in the 5th and get a consistent performance though 16 games.
8. Eli Manning (Giants): Little high for him right? Well I’m basing this on a couple of things. He is coming off a super bowl win against a team that was 18-0 coming into that game. No one expected them to win and he is a hero in New York. That should keep the pressure off until at least…say…late October. Consider this, Eli has thrown 24, 24, and 23 td’s over the past 3 years with a couple of rushing td’s mixed in. Coming into his 4th full season, with good players all around him, should be a recipe for a good year. Take into consideration he will play in sloppy weather come November and December but my prediction is Eli will take a big jump this year. Grab him in the 6th round in most drafts.
9. Marc Bulger (Rams): Wow, I no longer feel confident in my QB’s! Keep in mind that last season Bulger battled injuries, the loss of Orlando Pace and had a banged up Steven Jackson. Al Saunders is now the OC and I think he will get the Rams offense back to being a solid unit. I think the loss of Issac Bruce will hurt Bulger more than people think but he is a good choice in the 6th round.
10. Donovan McNabb (Eagles): While I think McNabb is a better performer than # 10, he just can’t stay on the field. He only missed 2 games last year but he can’t be trusted to play a full 16 games. Don’t take him any earlier than the 6th round and make sure you get a decent backup, maybe even taking a Cutler or Rivers in, say, the 8th round.
11. Derek Anderson (Browns): You maybe wondering how I can have a guy who threw for 29 td’s last year at number 11? Easy answer, I don’t think he’s going to be starting by mid season. In Anderson’s last 6 games, he threw for 8td’s and 9 picks. He was booed in the Brown’s last game. Cleveland does have weapons all over the field but their schedule is tough. They could easily start out 2-5. If that happens, you could see Brady Quinn. Someone will reach for Anderson in the 3rd or 4h round. Let them. Unless he is there in the middle rounds I would pass on Anderson and if you do draft him, take Quinn with your last pick just in case.
12. Jay Cutler (Broncos): Cutler played well and showed promise last year tossing 20 td passes and throwing for about 3500 yards. If Brandon Marshall is healthy and not suspended, I like Cutler a lot. If Marshall if not up to par, I’m not sure how much Brandon Stokley and Darrel Jackson can help Cutler. Still, he is worth a 6th or 7th round pick and could have big upside for you.
13. Aaron Rodgers (Packers): Rodgers is my boom or bust pick. Mike McCarthy’s offense is very QB friendly. He has Jennings, Driver and a cast of others to throw to. When he took over for an injured Brett Favre in Dallas last year, he played extremely well. Rodgers could end up putting up some terrific numbers this year… he could also be backing up Brett Favre. If Favre does not return to the Pack, Rodgers is worth a shot in the 8th or 9th round. He might be a good insurance pick if you have taken McNabb or Anderson.
14. Philip Rivers (Chargers): Rivers seems like a lock for 20 touchdown passes as he has thrown 22 and 21 in his first 2 years. It took some time for the Chargers to adjust to Norv Turner, but once they did the team took off. In Rivers last 6 games, he threw for 10td’s to only 3 picks. He should be there in the 8th or 9th round and is a low end # 1 option and a terrific # 2 option.
15. Jake Delhomme (Panthers): If Jake is healthy we have a sleeper pick. He had 8 td’s to 1 pick before he went down and had to have Tommy John Surgery. He has a good o-line, Steve Smith, Mushin Muhammad , DJ Hacket and Jonathan Stewart (remember that name). Delhomme is another great # 2 option who could end up starting for you. I would nab him in the 8th round if he is there.
16. David Garrard (Jaguars): Garrard only played 12 games last year and threw for 18 td’s and ran for 1 more. Jacksonville should be a very good team this year and Garrard will put up respectable numbers. I’d use an 8th or 9th round pick on him and sleep easy knowing I have insurance for my starter.
17. Matt Leinart (Cardinals): I am going with the assumption that the Cardinals are going with Leinart this year. If Kurt Warner starts I would probably move him up somewhere btw. 10-13. Warner threw 27 td’s last year and will still probably end up on the bench to start the season. You would have to assume that, if starting, Leinart can put up some decent numbers throwing to Fitzgerald and Boldin and should be worth taking as a backup in the 10th round or so.
18. Jason Campbell (Redskins): Campbell was up and down last year but did show some promise tossing 12 td’s including a stretch of 6 in 3 games from weeks 10-12. New head coach Jim Zorn had said that the team would be throwing a lot more this season. Campbell is nothing more than a backup and should not be considered before the 10th round.
19: Matt Shaub (Texans): Shaub was supposed to come into Houston and be the man. Instead he had a injury plagued season that saw him throw as many (or should I say few) td’s as picks (9) and was outplayed by Sage Rosenfeld. Take into consideration that Gary Kubiak is a good coach and the Texans have an up and coming team. I take Shaub in the backend of the draft someplace in round 10 or 11.
20: Jeff Garcia (Bucs): Garcia is a steady player who won’t kill you. He’s not the touchdown- throwing machine he was in San Fran but he is a serviceable backup. He only threw 13 td’s last year in 13 games but pick him in 10th-11th round or so and hope the week he has to play he throws for a couple of scores
21: Jon Kitna (Lions): I am not a Kitna fan when it comes to my fantasy team. He has thrown more picks (22 and 20 picks the last 2 years) than td’s (21 and 18). He has also fumbled 15 times in the last 2 years. That means a lot of negative points for most of you. With Martz in San Fran, he has a new OC this year. I don’t know what to expect from the Lions but I do know that he has Roy Williams and Calvin Johnson to throw to and that can’t be completely ignored. Plus, we are running out of options here and I’d take Kitna as a backup…late...and pray that the week you need him he doesn’t plan on having 4-5 turnovers.
22. Alex Smith (49ers): Mike Martz has to count for something right? The word bust is starting to be whispered around Smith but I don’t think he is as bad as he is perceived. Smith really did have a decent 2nd season and seemed poised to breakout in 2008. The whole 49er offense was a mess last year and it started with their OC, Jim Hostler (plus Smith played 3 games with a separated shoulder). Alex Smith thrived in a spread offense at Utah and I think he will have a decent season since Martz also runs a spread O. If you still need a backup QB, Smith should be there anytime you want him. Don’t worry about Shawn Hill, I think the 49er QB competition is nothing more than a ploy to motivate Smith.
23: Chad Pennington (Jets): I think the Kellen Clemons experiment is over and Pennington will win the QB battle. The Jets had all kinds of problems last year and Pennington only threw for 10 tds in 9 games. Chad has never been one to put up big numbers but he could be a serviceable play in your starters bye week. He should be there in rounds 12-14.
24. Trent Edwards (Bills): I like Edward’s pocket presence and I think the Bills are going to be a pretty good team. The Bills will run the ball a lot but Edwards could still throw 12-15 tds. He might be a good waiver wire pickup or maybe worth a pick in one of the last rounds.
25. Vince Young (Titans): Oh boy. You know QB’s are thin when Vince Young might get drafted. Someone will take him because he is a name but he is not a good fantasy player. He had 12 combined td’s last year (9 passing and 3 rushing) and 17 picks. I think he will be better this year with Alge Crumpler as a safety net and rookie Chris Johnson possibly breaking a few screen passes. I would not draft him, although someone in your league inevitably will.
26. Tavaris Jackson (Vikings): I can’t see how some of the experts can pick Minnesota to be a super bowl team when they have Jackson under center. But that is for another column. When his team was fighting for a playoff spot, Jackson’s last 3 games saw him throw 5 picks to 3 tds. I think that he will be better than the 9 tds he threw last year but not much. Do not draft.
27. Brody Croyle (Chiefs): Why? Because I really like Dwayne Bowe and Tony Gonzalez. Plus, if you need any of these next 6 qb’s your team probably has issues anyway.
28 JaMarcus Russell (Raiders): Russell will have his ups and downs this year. The Raiders line is suspect as are their receivers. I’m not sold on Javon Walker. If Russell starts to play well he should be on the waiver wire for you to grab.
29: Rex Grossman (Bears): Can you believe that it was just 2 years ago that Grossman was starting on some fantasy teams? Through 10 games in 2006, Grossman has 18 td’s to 11 picks. Since then? 9tds to 16 picks. Other than Greg Olsen, the Bears receivers just are not getting it done and Grossman is a turnover waiting to happen. Don’t touch him.
30: John Beck (Dolphins): Early indications are that Beck looks good in mini camp. Whether it is Beck, Henne or McCown, stay away.
31: Troy Smith (Ravens): If I were Baltimore I would give Flacco the nod sooner than later but until then I think you will see Troy Smith. He did throw a TD in each of his last 2 games but that might be the highlight of his career. Don’t draft a Baltimore QB this year.
32. Matt Ryan (Falcons): Ryan will probably be a good quarterback one day but he is going to take his lumps this season. Maybe by seasons end he might be worth a look on the waiver wire.
CBS Sportsline live draft.....
Couple questions...
For your 2nd running back, would you take Jamal Lewis or Jones Drew? Are they 2nd round picks or 3rd?
Lets say the QB's (inluding Palmer in the 3rd) are off the board so you go RB, RB, WR. Do you take Roethlisberger in the 4th or get the next best receiver and sit on QB?
I've noticed in every single draft I have done that the receivers start to come of the board in the 2nd round. I can't stop drafting. I don't even think it makes sense until August but I just can't stop. This must be like what alcholoism or drug addiction is like.
For 2nd RB I would take Jones Drew but definitely not in the 2nd round. You can still get a stud WR or one of the QB's in the 2nd and then in the 3rd if Jones is gone you will probably still have Jacobs, Johnson and a couple of others that aren't that much different than Drew.
It depends what receivers are out there. If Buress, C. Johnson and maybe a couple others are there I would take them but if it is between S. Holmes and Jennings and the rest of the 3rd tier receivers I would take Ben. I have a problem also, I have probably done about 20 drafts now. I'm starting to see that it really depends where you are drafting, so if your drafting 9-12 you have to be flexible to take a QB or WR in the first and then take a lesser RB in the second round but if your drafting 1-4 you can take your top RB in the first and then come back and get a top WR in the second and with the wrap get either another really good WR, top QB or mediocre RB so personally I would either go with the WR or QB.
For your 2nd running back, would you take Jamal Lewis or Jones Drew? Are they 2nd round picks or 3rd?
Lets say the QB's (inluding Palmer in the 3rd) are off the board so you go RB, RB, WR. Do you take Roethlisberger in the 4th or get the next best receiver and sit on QB?
I've noticed in every single draft I have done that the receivers start to come of the board in the 2nd round. I can't stop drafting. I don't even think it makes sense until August but I just can't stop. This must be like what alcholoism or drug addiction is like.
For 2nd RB I would take Jones Drew but definitely not in the 2nd round. You can still get a stud WR or one of the QB's in the 2nd and then in the 3rd if Jones is gone you will probably still have Jacobs, Johnson and a couple of others that aren't that much different than Drew.
It depends what receivers are out there. If Buress, C. Johnson and maybe a couple others are there I would take them but if it is between S. Holmes and Jennings and the rest of the 3rd tier receivers I would take Ben. I have a problem also, I have probably done about 20 drafts now. I'm starting to see that it really depends where you are drafting, so if your drafting 9-12 you have to be flexible to take a QB or WR in the first and then take a lesser RB in the second round but if your drafting 1-4 you can take your top RB in the first and then come back and get a top WR in the second and with the wrap get either another really good WR, top QB or mediocre RB so personally I would either go with the WR or QB.
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