Thursday, October 2, 2008

Week 5 picks

I did so bad at picking games last week, I shouldn't even be allowed to do this anymore. I went 5-7 in pick 'em! I didn't pick lines or anything like that, just...pick a winner. Couldn't do it. I even got knocked out of my survivor league beacuse the Broncos decided to the let one of the worst teams in the last decade run all over them. I'm not bitter though. Afterall, I guess thats why we love the NFL you never know what is going to happen right? Anyway, I'll try to redeem myself a little in week 5...

Titans over Ravens: I like what the Ravens have going on with Joe Flacco, a good running game and revived defense. But McGahee is banged up and might not play and...oh yeah...they are playing the best defense in the league. Haynesworth and the boys will get to know Joe Flacco in this one. The Titans are a better team without Vince Young. Kerry Collins is the game manager the team needs.

Panthers over Chiefs: If the Chiefs win again this week I'm just shutting this site down! Probably not...but I'll shocked. Delhomme has weapons all over the place with Smith, Hackett, and an ageless Muhammhed. Jonathan Stewart has been a touchdown scoring machine. Larry Johnson has had a good 2 weeks he's not playing Atlanta or that joke of a front 7 in Denver (I'm not bitter, I swear!).

Bears over the Lions: Here is what I don't get...the Lions are a joke. They have no chance at getting anywhere near the playoffs and haven't for some time (I know they were 6-2 a couple years back but how did that turn out?) How can you be so bad for so long and still cling to Jon Kitna as your QB? Isn't it time to move on? Hey speaking of QB issues, rememeber when the Bears had them? Kyle Orton has played better than people thought and the team should be 4-0. They'll be 3-2 after Sunday.

Packers over Falcons: If Aaron Rodgers doesn't play I am going on record as taking the Falcons. Matt Flynn at QB inspires no confidence in me. What were the Packers thinking going into the season with Flynn and Brian Brohm as their backups. This is a team that is ready to compete for the Superbowl but if Rodgers is down for any exteded period of time they may not win a game. Atlanta will make this game close even with Rodgers. They have a nice young team with some upside.

Colts over Texans: The Colts should have Ugoh and Saturday back this week. That will help to give Peyton Manning some time to throw and open up some holes for Addai. There is still a ton of talent on the outside with Wayne, Gonzalez and the guy who used to be Marison Harrion. I expect Steve Slaton to have a big day for Houston. Indy's D is not very good right now. Do you know they only have 4 sacks this year?

Chargers over Dolphins: If there has been on consistent this season, its that the Chargers are having trouble covering the tight end. Rosario from Carolina, Scheffter from Denver, Zack Miller from Oakland...all had big days. Are you listening to me Anthony Fassano and David Martin. Even if the Dolphins can move the ball though, I don't see them being able to stop SD on the outside. I think Chambers and Jackson will be too much for the Phins. Look for Philip Rivers to have a nice day.

Giants over Seahwaks: Seattle should be getting Bobby Engram back this week but he needs time to get back in the swing of things. I believe Seattle will make a run as they get healthier but it won't start this week. Even with Plaxico out the Giants will be too much. NY has quickly evolved from an underachieving team to the leagues elite. Amazing what a championship win over an 18-0 team will do. Justin Tuck is a beast by the way.

Eagles over Redskins: Are the Skins playing well or what? It looks like the light finally went on for Jason Campbell and Portis is as a consistent running back as there is. I just think Philly will to much offensively whether Westbrook plays or not. Jason and Taylor and Shawn Springs are both out for this one.

Broncos over Bucs: The Denver defense is atrocius. Their front 7 can't stop anyone right now (Really I'm not bitter). I think that Cutler and the boys will score some points but the Bucs D should be able to make enough plays to keep them in the game. But can I really going with Brian Griese on the road? Listen, TB is a really good bad team. I don't understand how they keep winning. The D is good. Not great, good. I don't see any playmakers on their offense outside of Joey Galloway who is banged up. Maybe Earnest Graham...I'm sure TB will find a way to pull this one out to make me look stupid but I'm going with Denver and joke of a defense at home.

Bills over Cards: I have a man-crush on the Bills. I love that team. I really pulled for them last season when they had 57 players on IR and still almost made the playoffs. It shows what a good, underrated coach Dick Jauron is. This season, they are healthy and scrappy. Trent Edwards is the real deal. Marshwan Lynch, who loves Buffalo by the way (see video) is a stud. The defense is stout. I have seen a lot of people pick the Cards here but I don't see it. Look for the Bills to be 5-0 going into their showdown with SD in 2 weeks. By the way, did you see Anquan Boldin broke his sinus? I didn't even think that was possible.



Cowboys over Bengals: Lets see if Wade Phillips and Jason Garrett decide to give the ball to Barber or Felix Jones this week. The Cowboy game plan last week was a joke. How can Barber only get 8 carries and Jones not even touch the ball? Doesn't matter this week, they could play Chad Hutchinson and runningback and still beat Cincy.

49ers over Pats: Yeah I said it. The Niners are going to beat the Pats...I think. Listen, I believe Mike Nolan is the worst head coach in the league (now that Linehan got fired). I know that is harsh coming from a 9er guy but I have seen the same tired act from his teams for 4 years. The defense was shredded last week against NO. Looked a lot like the last 3 years to me. I'm picking them this week though. I just think the Pats are in worse shape than people think and the Niners offense can put up some points (when JTO is upright). Mark my words though, if the Niners don't win this weekend it's going to get ugly quick in San Fran. Their schedule gets tough with games coming up against the Eagles, Giants and Seahwaks.

Jags over Steelers: Both teams are beat up. This should be a very physical game. I just don't see Pitt coming out on top here. They played a tough Monday night game and are down to their 3rd string RB. The Jags need to come to their senses and start featuring Jones-Drew a little more.

Saints over Vikings: For all the talk about the Vikes D, they only have 7 sacks this season. Jared Allen better get after Drew Brees if they have any shot this week. Brees is without Colston and Shockey and still lights up defenses. He really is a terrific QB.

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